UK Housing Observatory

2017Q2 Release. OverviewIn this quarter, we highlight two significant statistics in the housing market. First, UK property prices have experienced, for the first time since 2012 Q3, a negative growth rate (-0.1%). Second, this negative growth rate has been mainly led by the regions in the South of the country, in particular, London (-2%) and Outer South East (-0.7%).   Read more

Find out more about the UK Housing Observatory project.

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Indicators of house price exuberance and forecasts of house price growth in the UK National Market. Updated every quarter.

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Indicators of house price exuberance and forecasts of house price growth for 13 regional real estate markets in the UK. Updated every quarter.

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Links to Excel files containing the exuberance indicators and the forecasting results are available for download in this section.

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R and Eviews codes implementing the econometric tests of Phillips et al. (2013) "Testing for Multiple Bubbles 1: Historical Episodes of Exuberance and Collapse in the S&P 500".

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Links to related publications describing the methodology of the Generalised Supremum Augmented Dickey Fuller test used for identification of explosive episodes. 

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A detailed description of the methodology and sources of housing data is available in this section.

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UK Housing Observatory research mentioned in the media.

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