UK Housing Observatory

2017Q3 Release. Overview: We highlight two significant developments in the housing market since the previous release of the UK Housing Observatory. First, UK property prices have increased by 0.7% in the last quarter. This figure reverts the negative house price inflation of the previous quarter, which was the first fall in prices since 2012 Q3. Read more

Find out more about the UK Housing Observatory project.

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Indicators of house price exuberance and forecasts of house price growth in the UK National Market. Updated every quarter.

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Indicators of house price exuberance and forecasts of house price growth for 13 regional real estate markets in the UK. Updated every quarter.

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Links to Excel files containing the exuberance indicators and the forecasting results are available for download in this section.

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R and Eviews codes implementing the econometric tests of Phillips et al. (2013) "Testing for Multiple Bubbles 1: Historical Episodes of Exuberance and Collapse in the S&P 500".

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Links to related publications describing the methodology of the Generalised Supremum Augmented Dickey Fuller test used for identification of explosive episodes. 

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A detailed description of the methodology and sources of housing data is available in this section.

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UK Housing Observatory research mentioned in the media.

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