UK Housing Observatory

2017Q1 Release. Overview: Since the previous release of the Observatory, house prices have increased in all UK regions with the exception of the property markets of the NorthWales and East Anglia. Areas with the highest property price inflation rates are Greater London (2.4%), South West (2.3%) and West Midlands (2.2%).  Read more

Find out more about the UK Housing Observatory project.

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Indicators of house price exuberance and forecasts of house price growth in the UK National Market. Updated every quarter.

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Indicators of house price exuberance and forecasts of house price growth for 13 regional real estate markets in the UK. Updated every quarter.

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Links to Excel files containing the exuberance indicators and the forecasting results are available for download in this section.

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R and Eviews codes implementing the econometric tests of Phillips et al. (2013) "Testing for Multiple Bubbles 1: Historical Episodes of Exuberance and Collapse in the S&P 500".

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Links to related publications describing the methodology of the Generalised Supremum Augmented Dickey Fuller test used for identification of explosive episodes. 

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A detailed description of the methodology and sources of housing data is available in this section.

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UK Housing Observatory research mentioned in the media.

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