Welcome

Thanks for visiting this website. I completed my PhD in 2018 and consequently am no longer a student at Lancaster University. My thesis was titled "Statistical Models for Extreme Weather Events" and I was supervised by Jonathan Tawn, Simon Brown (Met Office) and Hugo Winter (EDF Energy) as part of the EPSRC-funded STOR-i Centre for Doctoral Training. I am currently a Statistician/Data Scientist at JBA Consulting.

Publications

Sharkey, P., Tawn, J.A. and Brown, S.J. (2018). A stochastic model for the lifecycle and track of extreme extratropical cyclones. Submitted. Preprint

Sharkey, P., Tawn, J.A. and Brown, S.J. (2018). Modelling the spatial extent and severity of extreme European windstorms. Submitted. Preprint

Sharkey, P. and Winter, H.C. (2018). A Bayesian spatial hierarchical model for extreme precipitation in Great Britain. Environmetrics (to appear).

Barlow, A., Rohrbeck, C., Sharkey, P., Shooter, R. and Simpson, E.S. (2018). A Bayesian spatio-temporal model for precipitation extremes - STOR team contribution to the EVA2017 challenge . Extremes (to appear).

Sharkey, P. and Tawn, J.A. (2017). A Poisson process reparameterisation for Bayesian inference for extremes. Extremes. 20(2):239-263.

Contributed presentations

"Statistical Models for Extremes arising from Extratropical Cyclones" (2017). 10th International Conference on Extreme Value Analysis. Delft, Netherlands.

"A Poisson Process Reparameterisation for Bayesian inferences for Extremes" (2017). Winter School on Recent Advances in Extremes. EPFL, Switzerland.

"Modelling Spatial Extent and Severity of Extratropical Cyclones" (2016). Workshop on Multivariate and Spatial Extremes. Lancaster, UK.

"Modelling Spatial Extent and Severity of Extratropical Cyclones" (2016). Research Students Conference in Probability and Statistics. Dublin, Ireland.

"Statistical Modelling of Extratropical Cyclones" (2016). RSS Workshop on Statistics in Weather and Climate. Reading, UK.

"Physically-based Statistical Models for Extremes arising from Extratropical Cyclones" (2015). International Conference on Advances in Extreme Value Analysis and Application to Natural Hazards. Santander, Spain.