Professor Peter NealProfessor of Statistics
PhD Supervision Interests
The understanding and control of infectious diseases is of considerable importance to society. How a disease spreads and/or how infectious a disease is, has tremendous implications upon the health and wealth of a community. I am interested in both the probabilistic and statistical analysis of infectious diseases. From a probabilistic perspective, we look to answer questions as: What is the probability that a disease takes hold within a community? How many individuals are ultimately infected by the disease? This involves developing novel probabilistic techniques to answer these questions for realistic population models such as the household and random graph models. Alternatively, having observed an epidemic we can propose a model for the disease spread and estimate the model parameters. However, often the disease data are "incomplete" and novel statistical methods, in particular, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) are required to analyse the data. We aim to answer questions concerning the adequacy of the model and the predictive capabilities of the model for the future epidemic outbreaks.
DSI:LHOFT - Liverpool-Humber Optimisation of Freight Transport
01/08/2017 → 31/01/2020
- Analysis and Probability
- Modelling and Inference
- STOR-i Centre for Doctoral Training