Lancaster Environment Centre
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The Carbon Pause
I found the discussions about the apparent pause in global carbon emissions interesting and so posted the following.
A Simple Integrated Assessment Model
I teach some third year undergraduates climate integrated assessment modelling (among other things). They donít have any formal economics and, therefore, we approach the problem using ecological economics. We also pair down the complexity more than Iíve seen any others attempt in order to make the material accessible to math/modelling phobes. The result will hopefully offend the economic/IAM orthodoxy and be illuminating for those wanting to see the entrails of the IAM world. The current product is a spreadsheet model and associated handout. When I have time I intend to publish this more formally, although I do not imagine that will be easy!
Some things Iíve written
Do we seek growth? Jarvis AJ, Davis N. (in review)
Energy returns on investment and the growth of global industrial society. Jarvis AJ. Ecological Economics, 146, 722-729 (pdf)
Resource acquisition, distribution and end-use efficiencies and the growth of industrial society. Jarvis AJ, Jarvis SJ and Hewitt CN. Earth System Dynamics, 6, 1Ė14 (pdf)
Climate-society feedbacks and the avoidance of dangerous climate change. Jarvis, AJ, Leedal DT and Hewitt CN, Nature Climate Change, 2 (9), 668-671 (pdf)
The Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP): a control perspective. Jarvis, A., Leedal, D. Atmospheric Science Letters. 13, 3,157-163 (pdf)
The magnitudes and timescales of global mean surface temperature feedbacks in climate models. Jarvis, A. Earth System Dynamics. 2, 213-221 (pdf)
Stabilizing global mean surface temperature: a feedback control perspective. Jarvis, A., Leedal, D., Taylor, J., Young, P. Environmental Modelling and Software. 24, 5, 665-674 (pdf)
Are response function representations of the global carbon cycle ever interpretable? Li, S., Jarvis, A.J., Leedal, D.T. Tellus B. 61, 2, 361-371 (pdf)
Long run surface temperature dynamics of an A-OGCM: the HadCM3 4xCO2 forcing experiment revisited. Li, S., Jarvis, A. Climate Dynamics. 33, 6, 817-825 (pdf)