Welcome a chroeso

I'm a statistical modeller at Shell and the Department of Mathematics and Statistics at Lancaster.

At Lancaster, I'm working with Jonathan Tawn and Yanyun Wu on developments in extreme value analysis; with Jonathan Tawn, Emma Eastoe, David Randell and Elena Zanini on improved modelling of large-scale non-stationary extremes; and with Jonathan Tawn, Jenny Wadsworth and Rob Shooter on multivariate and spatial extremes.

I work in extreme value analysis for ocean engineering applications, Bayesian methods for monitoring of large systems in time and inversion methods in remote sensing. I'm interested in uncertainty quantification and multivariate methods generally, particularly in application to our physical environment.

Given the many forms of empirical inference used in data science, I'm also trying to promote simple statistical procedures to provide a basic level of assurance and uncertainty quantification, for example in prediction.

contact details

I can be contacted by email at p.jonathan@lancaster.ac.uk .