Home page for accesible maths 8.1 Regression coefficients

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8.1.1 Expectation of least squares estimator

Find the expectation of β^ in terms of A, X and β.

𝔼⁢[β^]=𝔼⁢[A⁢Y]=A⁢𝔼⁢[Y]

by linearity of expectation, so 𝔼⁢[β^]=A⁢X⁢β by definition of linear model.

Now

A⁢X=(X′⁢X)-1⁢X′⁢X=Ip.

where Ip is the p×p identity matrix. Consequently, {mdframed}

𝔼⁢[β^]=A⁢X⁢β=Ip⁢β=β,

so that the estimator is unbiased.