Success stories

Modelling consumer complaints in FMCG @ Beiersdorf

Trend Estimation in the Tactical Horizon @ Beiersdorf

Forecast Model Selection in FMCG Supply Chains @ Beiersdorf

Forecasting for Far East @ Wilkinson

Fruit & Veg Forecasting and Replenishment @ Booths

Modelling consumer complaints in FMCG @ Dow Chemical Company

Describing the impact of customer satisfaction in the insurance industry @ AXA Winterthur

Modelling Customer Churn @ AXA Winterthur

The Impact of Weather Variables on Demand Forecasting @ Tesco

Promotional causal forecasting: A case study @ Morrisons Plc

Call Centre Demand Forecasting @ Barclaycard

Econometric Models Building for British Gas Call Centre @ British Gas

Forecasting Ethernet Ceases @ BT Openreach

Novel Methods and Empirical Comparison for Danish Short term Gas Consumption Forecasting @ Dong Energy

New Product Forecasting @ Dow Chemical Company

Forecast Model Development in Supply Chain Management @ Bayer

Forecasting Product Returns @ Shop Direct Group

Setting Up Forecasting Process for Stock Control @ SMD Home Ltd.

Forecasting for Spare Parts by TecCMI @ TMD Friction

Standard deviation and safety stock analysis @ Morrisons Plc

Short Term Traffic Forecasting @ Inrix

Forecasting Pay Drift @ Department of Health

Forecasting Patient Activity @ NHS

Spiriva Prescriptions Estimation @ Boeringer Ingelheim

Change Detection in Pharmaceutical Demand Forecasting @ Boeringer Ingelheim

Choosing a Right Forecasting Software @ McBride

Purchasing new forecasting software @ Beiersdorf


White Papers

Lancaster University Management School Uses SAS® Software to Meet Product Sales Forecasting Challenge

Lancaster University Management School Uses SAS® Analytics Software to Help Online Retail Company Predict Fraud Risk


Course Material

Forecasting: The issues (by Robert Fildes)
Chapter 2: Basic Tools for forecasting (by Keith Ord and Robert Fildes)
Chapter 4: Forecasting Trends: Exponential Smoothing (by Keith Ord and Robert Fildes)
 Spreadsheet: Simple Exponential Smoothing
 Spreadsheet: Linear Exponential Smoothing


Influential Articles

Influential Articles (by R Fildes and P Geoff Allen) - Full Article
Influential Articles - Full List
Influential Articles - Full List