CMAF Friday Forecasting Talk: How AIML forecasting is not changing Industry Demand Planning
Friday 28 May 2021, 2:00pm to 3:00pm
Venue
Live OnlineOpen to
Alumni, External Organisations, Postgraduates, Prospective Postgraduate Students, Public, StaffRegistration
Free to attend - registration requiredRegistration Info
https://www.meetup.com/cmaf-friday-forecasting-talks/
Event Details
Webinar
The abstract: Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning (AI/ML) reign high on the Gartner hype cycle, promising new business models, and capturing the imagination of many industry executives well outside the digital industries of Facebook, Google and Uber. However, despite dozens of Proof-of-Concept studies in demand planning, AI/ML is struggling to prove significant increases in planning accuracy. One limiting factor, we will argue, is that the underlying data for demand planning is fundamentally limited. After a very brief introduction into AI/ML we will explore the fundamental difference in data between image/voice/video recognition and typical pharmaceutical demand planning, where we data size and data labels are often very sparse. As this limits the benefit of the AI/ML algorithms of Google & co, we will show a case study where we have enhanced limited datasets in demand panning and thus showed promise in using AI/ML for Janssen (a Johnson & Johnson company). We will close by showing more favourable data conditions and successful AIML forecasts in container shipping for Hapag-Lloyd, forecasting consumer demand for FMCG manufacturer Beiersdorf, and beverage forecasting for beer Manufacturer Anheuser-Busch InBev, which have been forecasting with AI for up to 10 years.
Speaker
Management Science, Lancaster University
Sven is an Assistant Professor in Management Science at Lancaster University, UK, where his 15+ years in research on forecasting algorithms and applications of AI/ML led to 80+ publications and ranks him in the top 30 in Europe (citations by Google Scholar). Sven regularly provides in-house training courses on forecasting and analytics for companies, and is a regular conference chair and keynote speaker at international conferences in forecasting, analytics, and S&OP/IBP. He is also CEO and foun
Contact Details
Name | Teresa Aldren |
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