Computational Statistics Seminar: Francois-Xavier Briol

Thursday 24 October 2019, 3:00pm to 4:00pm

Venue

PSC - PSC Lab 2 - View Map

Open to

Postgraduates, Staff

Registration

Registration not required - just turn up

Event Details

Statistical Inference for Generative Models with Maximum Mean Discrepancy

While likelihood-based inference and its variants provide a statistically efficient and widely applicable approach to parametric inference, their application to models involving intractable likelihoods poses challenges. In this work, we study a class of minimum distance estimators for intractable generative models, that is, statistical models for which the likelihood is intractable, but simulation is cheap. The distance considered, maximum mean discrepancy (MMD), is defined through the embedding of probability measures into a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We study the theoretical properties of these estimators, showing that they are consistent, asymptotically normal and robust to model misspecification. A main advantage of these estimators is the flexibility offered by the choice of kernel, which can be used to trade-off statistical efficiency and robustness. On the algorithmic side, we study the geometry induced by MMD on the parameter space and use this to introduce a novel natural gradient descent-like algorithm for efficient implementation of these estimators. We illustrate the relevance of our theoretical results on several classes of models including a discrete-time latent Markov process and two multivariate stochastic differential equation models.

Contact Details

Name Dr Alex Gibberd
Email

a.gibberd@lancaster.ac.uk

Telephone number

+44 1524 595068