Dr Trevor Page


Strategies for testing the impact of natural flood risk management measures
Hankin, B., Metcalfe, P.W., Johnson, D., Chappell, N.A., Page, T.J.C., Craigen, I., Lamb, R., Beven, K.J. 30/08/2017 In: Flood Risk Management. InTech p. 1-39. 39 p.
Chapter (peer-reviewed)

An analysis of the likely success of policy actions under uncertainty: recovery from acidification across Great Britain
Whyatt, J.D., Metcalfe, S., Derwent, R., Page, T.J.C. 07/2017 In: Environmental Science and Policy. 73, p. 124-132. 9 p.
Journal article

Predicting microbial water quality with models: over-arching questions for managing risk in agricultural catchments
Oliver, D.M., Porter, K.D.H., Pachepsky, Y.A., Muirhead, R.W., Reaney, S.M., Coffey, R., Kay, D., Milledge, D.G., Hong, E., Anthony, S.G., Page, T.J.C., Bloodworth, J.W., Mellander, P., Carbonneau, P.E., McGrane, S.J., Quilliam, R.S. 15/02/2016 In: Science of the Total Environment. 544, p. 39-47. 9 p.
Journal article

Rivers Trust Life-IP Natural Course Project: Strategic Investigation of Natural Flood Management in Cumbria. Technical Report. JBA Consulting and Lancaster Environment Centre.
Hankin, B., Craigen, I., Chappell, N.A., Page, T.J.C., Metcalfe, P.W. 2016 JBA Consulting. 104 p.
Commissioned report

Uncertainty assessment of phosphorus risk to surface waters
Anthony, S.G., Beven, K., Carvalho, L., Elliott, A., Freer, J., Gooddy, D., Green, H., Haygarth, P., Heathwaite, L., Hilton, J., Jarvie, H.P., Jennings, E., Maberly, S., Mainstone, C.P., May, L., Moss, B., Nash, D.M., Neal, C., Page, T., Pope, T., Quinton, J., Reynolds, C., Sharpley, A.N., Smith, J.W.N., Thompson, L.J., Wade, A.J., Willows, R., Withers, P.J.A. 05/2013 Environment Agency.
Commissioned report

Estimating phosphorus delivery with its mitigation measures from soil to stream using fuzzy rules
Zhang, T., Page, T., Heathwaite, L., Beven, K., Oliver, D., Haygarth, P. 03/2013 In: Soil Use and Management. 29, Suppl. s1, 12 p.
Special issue

Eliciting fuzzy distributions from experts for ranking conceptual risk model components
Page, T., Heathwaite, A.L., Thompson, L.J., Pope, L., Willows, R. 10/2012 In: Environmental Modelling and Software. 36, p. 19-34. 6 p.
Journal article

Determining E. coli burden on pasture in a headwater catchment: combined field and modelling approach
Oliver, D., Page, T., Zhang, T., Heathwaite, L., Beven, K., Carter, H., McShane, G., Keenan, P., Haygarth, P. 08/2012 In: Environment International. 43, p. 6-12. 7 p.
Journal article

Managing the impacts of nutrient enrichment on river systems: dealing with complex uncertainties in risk analyses
Page, T., Heathwaite, A.L., Reynolds, C., Beven, K.J., Pope, L., Willows, R., Moss, B. 07/2012
Literature review

Scaling up the phosphorus signal from soil hillslopes to headwater catchments
Haygarth, P.M., Page, T.J.C., Beven, K.J., Freer, J., Joynes, A., Butler, P., Wood, G.A., Owens, P.N. 07/2012 In: Freshwater Biology. 57, s1, p. 7-25. 19 p.
Journal article

Estimating phosphorus delivery from land to water in headwater catchments using a fuzzy decision tree approach
Scholefield, P., Heathwaite, L., Brazier, R., Page, T., Beven, K., Hodgkinson, R., Schaerer, M., Withers, P., Walling, D.E., Haygarth, P. 03/2012 In: Soil Use and Management. 29, Suppl. s1, 12 p.
Special issue

Increases in lake phytoplankton biomass caused by future climate-driven changes to seasonal river flow
Jones, I.D., Page, T., Elliott, J.A., Thackeray, S.J., Heathwaite, A.L. 05/2011 In: Global Change Biology. 17, 5, p. 1809-1820. 12 p.
Journal article

Development and testing of a risk indexing framework to determine field-scale critical source areas of faecal bacteria on grassland.
Oliver, D.M., Page, T., Hodgson, C.J., Heathwaite, A.L., Chadwick, D.R., Fish, R.D., Winter, M. 04/2010 In: Environmental Modelling and Software. 25, 4, p. 503-512. 10 p.
Journal article

Re-shaping models of E. coli population dynamics in livestock faeces: increased bacterial risk to humans?
Oliver, D.M., Page, T., Heathwaite, A.L., Haygarth, P.M. 01/2010 In: Environmental International. 36, 1, p. 1-7. 7 p.
Journal article

Impacts of pollution and climate change on ombrotrophic Sphagnum species in the UK: analysis of uncertainties in two empirical niche models
Smart, S., Henrys, P., Scott, W., Hall, J., Evans, C., Rowe, E., Page, T., Whyatt, D., Sowerby, A., Clark, J. 2010 In: Climate Research. 45, CR Special 24, p. 163-177. 15 p.
Journal article

Assessment of uncertainties in a long range atmospheric transport model : methodology, application and implications in a UK context.
Page, T., Whyatt, J.D., Metcalfe, S.E., Derwent, R.G., Curtis, C. 12/2008 In: Environmental Pollution. 156, 3, p. 997-1006. 10 p.
Journal article

Regional Scale Modelling of Particulate Matter in the UK: Source Attribution and Assessment of Uncertainties.
Whyatt, J.D., Metcalfe, S.E., Nicholson, J.P.G., Derwent, R.G., Page, T., Stedman, J.R. 05/2007 In: Atmospheric Environment. 41, 16, p. 3315-3327. 13 p.
Journal article

Modelling the Chloride Signal at the Plynlimon Catchments, Wales Using a Modified Dynamic TOPMODEL.
Page, T., Beven, K.J., Freer, J., Neal, C. 30/01/2007 In: Hydrological Processes. 21, 3, p. 292-307. 16 p.
Journal article

Uncertainty estimation in phosphorus models.
Beven, K.J., Page, T., McGechan, M. 2007 In: Modeling phosphorus in the environment. Boca Ranton : CRC Press p. 131-160. 30 p. ISBN: 0849337771 (alk. paper) ; 9780849337772 (alk. paper).

A fuzzy decision tree to predict phosphorus export at the catchment scale.
Scharer, M., Page, T., Beven, K. 15/12/2006 In: Journal of Hydrology. 331, 3-4, p. 484-494. 11 p.
Journal article

Presentation of the Influence of Deposition Uncertainties on Acidity Critical Load Exceedance across Wales.
Heywood, E., Whyatt, J.D., Hall, J., Wadsworth, R.A., Page, T. 02/2006 In: Environmental Science and Policy. 9, 1, p. 32-45. 14 p.
Journal article

Spatial Variability of Soil Phosphorus in Relation to the Topographic Index and Critical Source Areas : Sampling for Assessing Risk to Water Quality
Page, T., Haygarth, P.M., Beven, K.J., Joynes, A., Butler, P.J., Keeler, C., Freer, J.E., Owens, P., Woods, G. 11/2005 In: Journal of Environmental Quality. 34, 6, p. 2263-2277. 15 p.
Journal article

Uncertainty in Modelled Estimates of Acid Deposition Across Wales: A GLUE Approach.
Page, T., Whyatt, J.D., Beven, K.J., Metcalfe, S.E. 05/2004 In: Atmospheric Environment. 38, 14, p. 2079-2090. 12 p.
Journal article

Predictive Capability in Estimating Changes in Water Quality: Long-Term Responses to Atmospheric Deposition.
Page, T., Beven, K.J., Whyatt, J.D. 01/2004 In: Water, Air, and Soil Pollution. 151, 1-4, p. 215-244. 30 p.
Journal article

Temporal variability in phosphorus transfers: classifying concentration-discharge event dynamics.
Haygarth, P., Turner, B., Fraser, A., Jarvis, S., Harrod, T., Nash, D., Halliwell, D., Page, T., Beven, K.J. 2004 In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 8, 1, p. 88-97. 10 p.
Journal article

Investigating the uncertainty in predicting responses to atmospheric deposition using the model of acidification of groundwater in catchments (MAGIC) within a generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) framework.
Page, T., Beven, K.J., Freer, J.E., Jenkins, A. 01/2003 In: Water, Air, and Soil Pollution. 142, 1-4, p. 71-94. 24 p.
Journal article