Dynamic Evacuation Recommendation with Inferred Compliance

Friday 5 June 2026, 2:00pm to 3:00pm

Venue

LT9 LUMS, Lancaster, United Kingdom, LA1 4YX

Open to

Postgraduates, Public, Staff

Registration

Registration not required - just turn up

Event Details

Dr Ruiwei Jiang will present a seminar to the Management Science Department

Abstract: Natural disasters such as hurricanes and wildfires can have devastating consequences that affect large populations. Among all relief measures, evacuation is crucial for saving lives and reducing panic as well as asset losses. Existing studies have extensively explored evacuation route planning, which focuses on pre-disaster route recommendations with the assumption that people must comply with those recommendations. In contrast, dynamic evacuation routing, which accounts for the behaviors of distributed evacuation groups and the stochastic unfolding of disasters, has received little attention. This talk proposes an approach that iteratively infers evacuees' compliance in the route recommendation and integrates the inference into a dynamic route recommendation model. In numerical experiments, this approach demonstrates superior effectiveness in reducing evacuation time and road congestion.

Speaker

Ruiwei Jiang

University of Michigan

Ruiwei Jiang is an Associate Professor of Industrial and Operations Engineering at the University of Michigan. His research and teaching interests lie in stochastic and integer optimization, with applications in power and transportation systems. Recognitions of his work include an NSF CAREER Award, two INFORMS Junior Faculty Interest Group paper awards (1st place and honorable mention), an INFORMS Computing Society (ICS) prize (honorable mention), and an IISE Operations Research Division Teachin

Contact Details

Name Gay Bentinck
Email

g.bentinck@lancaster.ac.uk