CRUCIAL: Expert Prediction Markets for Climate Risk

Wednesday 25 January 2023, 1:00pm to 2:00pm


Management School - LT19, Lancaster, LA1 4YX

Open to

All Lancaster University (non-partner) students, External Organisations, Public, Staff


Free to attend - registration required

Registration Info

Registration is required - more details at

Event Details

Dr Kim Kaivanto and Dr Mark Roulston introduce the CRUCIAL (Climate Risk and Uncertainty Collective Intelligence Aggregation Laboratory).

Many planning and investment decisions require an understanding of how future climate change will manifest itself. While there are many relevant sources of information and expertise, decision makers face significant difficulties in accessing, interpreting, and appraising it. Moreover, there are several problems in the institutional arrangements of current climate risk information provision. This presentation proposes expert prediction markets as a potential solution to these problems, and discusses the CRUCIAL (Climate Risk and Uncertainty Collective Intelligence Aggregation Laboratory) initiative between the Universities of Lancaster and Exeter to establish such markets.


Dr Kim Kaivanto

Economics, Lancaster University

Dr Mark Roulston

University of Exeter

Contact Details

Name Anya Nanning Ramamurthy